Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump
In short, it appears as though educational levels are the critical factor in predicting shifts in the vote between 2012 and 2016. You can come to that conclusion with a relatively simple analysis, like the one I’ve conducted above, or by using fancier methods. In a regression analysis at the county level, for instance, lower-income counties were no more likely to shift to Trump once … [ Read more ]
Author: Nate Silver | Source: FiveThirtyEight (November 22, 2016) | Subjects: Excerpts, Politics & Public Policy, Trump