Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump

In short, it appears as though educational levels are the critical factor in predicting shifts in the vote between 2012 and 2016. You can come to that conclusion with a relatively simple analysis, like the one I’ve conducted above, or by using fancier methods. In a regression analysis at the county level, for instance, lower-income counties were no more likely to shift to Trump once … [ Read more ]

The Lines That Divide America

Lines can bring fairness and order to what might otherwise be a free-for-all. There’s even a science, called queuing theory, that examines the optimal ways to make lines move equitably and efficiently. But they don’t always work that way; sometimes, they can operate to institutionalize unfairness and inequality. That’s why Arlie Russell Hochschild uses lines as a metaphor for the challenges facing contemporary American society … [ Read more ]

Trump Articles – 2017

I, like the rest of the world, was shocked when Trump won the election. I had been reading many articles during the long election cycle, but never made note of those. After his victory, I started to think that, while it is impossible to know what will transpire in the future, it seemed like a good bet that his presidency will be a period of … [ Read more ]

Articles and Videos on the Obama Legacy

As Barack Obama’s time in office drew to a close, I started seeing articles on the man and his presidency. As the country transitioned from the first black president to what is most likely to be one of the most controversial presidencies in history, I decided to collect articles on each for future reference (see my collection of 2017 Trump articles).
Articles

  1. In praise

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Moving Stars

The Obamas are the rare First Family to leave the White House stronger than when they arrived—never victims, even when hatefully victimized. Is it too late for the rest of us to learn how?

Prisons Run by C.E.O.s? Privatization Under Trump Could Carry a Heavy Price

“There’s a magical thinking among business executives that something about the profit motive makes everything run better,” noted Raymond Fisman, a professor of economics at Boston University. […] A serious body of economics, not to mention reams of evidence from decades of privatizations around the world, suggests this belief is false.

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Of course, the government can also do a horrible job of running things. And private … [ Read more ]

History Tells Us What May Happen Next with Brexit & Trump

We humans have a habit of going into phases of mass destruction, generally self imposed to some extent or another.

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At a local level in time people think things are fine, then things rapidly spiral out of control until they become unstoppable, and we wreak massive destruction on ourselves. For the people living in the midst of this it is hard to see happening and hard … [ Read more ]

U.S. Tax Reform Articles

The U.S. recently passed the first major tax policy change in years. Over the past months I have been reading and noting articles on the issue and saving the ones I think have something useful to say on the topic, whether I agree or disagree. Here is a list of those articles, by source.

The Madness of King Donald

It’s now a commonplace that Trump and his underlings tell whoppers. Fact-checkers have never had it so good. But all politicians lie. Bill Clinton could barely go a day without some shading or parsing of the truth. Richard Nixon was famously tricky. But all the traditional political fibbers nonetheless paid some deference to the truth — even as they were dodging it. They acknowledged a … [ Read more ]

Garrison Keillor: Done. Over. He’s here. Goodbye.

So he won. The nation takes a deep breath. Raw ego and proud illiteracy have won out and a severely learning-disabled man with a real character problem will be president. We are so exhausted from thinking about this election, millions of people will take up leaf-raking and garage cleaning with intense pleasure.

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The Trumpers never expected their guy to actually win the thing, and that’s their … [ Read more ]

How Hannah Arendt’s Classic Work on Totalitarianism Illuminates Today’s America

Freedom is fragile, and when demagogues speak, and others start following them, it is wise to pay attention.

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The political party system, and parliamentary government more generally, were regarded as corrupt and oligarchic. Such an environment was fertile ground for a “mob mentality,” in which outsiders — Jews, Roma, Slavs, gays, “cosmopolitan intellectuals” — could be scapegoated and a savior could be craved: “The mob always … [ Read more ]

The Seven Broken Guardrails of Democracy

The American republic was long safeguarded by settled norms, now shattered by the rise of Donald Trump.

The Future World Order

Theories of international relations
Of the large range of theories that have emerged on how states get along with each other, or not as the case may be, I will draw, in simplified terms, on two leading schools today: liberalism and structural realism.

  1. Liberalism
    The basic notion in liberalism is that conflict tends to occur where states have diverging interests. Where these interests are non-trivial, sometimes such

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Democracy from the Mob Mentality That Masquerades for It

When a society has shed its crutches of inequality in a relatively short period — from finally recognizing the dignity of all love with marriage equality to finally taking stock of a generations-old wound with Black Lives Matter — vast swaths of the population are perhaps bound to find the rate of change intolerable, bound to find themselves tossed into a brave new world that … [ Read more ]

Theodore Roosevelt On Citizenship

Here is a small treasury of excerpts from some of the addresses Theodore Roosevelt gave during his lifetime. When you look at anthologies of all his speeches, you find that the themes he hits in these selections were the ones he offered, with only slight alterations, over and over and over again, in every town and city he visited on country-crossing whistle stop tours. You’ll … [ Read more ]

Noam Chomsky: ‘The Republican Party Has Become the Most Dangerous Organization in World History’

Some years ago, public intellectual Noam Chomsky warned that the political climate in the U.S. was ripe for the rise of an authoritarian figure. Now, he shares his thoughts on the aftermath of this election, the moribund state of the U.S. political system and why Trump is a real threat to the world and the planet in general.